FOMC Preview: A hawkish hold as markets watch for signals about timing and extent of further tightening

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75–4.00% at tomorrow’s FOMC meeting, with markets pricing a 90% probability of a hold. With limited changes expected to the policy statement, the focus will be on Fed Chair Warsh’s press conference. Despite higher September inflation data strengthening the case for further tightening, key Fed members have signalled…

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